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[theKENDOG]

Update 12-6-13 @ 2:30pm



Man, unless you like warmer weather this time of year, it sucks right now and things aren't going to get any better until Tuesday. Here's an overview for the NC mountains.



Showers re-develop later today and tonight looks wet as a cold front slowly pushes through. A decent amount of rain will fall overnight. Blegh.



Tomorrow should be dry for the most part and it'll be colder. Temps will still be a little too warm for snowmaking though. Blegh.



Saturday night begins a textbook CAD (cold air damming) event. This will only affect the northwest NC mountains and foothills. Cat and locations in the southwest portion of the state are looking at an all rain event Saturday night and Sunday. Ashe, Avery, and Watauga Counties could see things get ugly. Freezing rain Saturday night/Sunday morning should turn to all rain by midday for everyone near the NC/TN border. So Beech and Sugar will see rain throughout most of the day on Sunday. However, areas on the eastern side of the Appalachians are looking at a mess possibly. This applies to Boone and App Ski Mtn. Check out the NAM overview from Bufkit below. Red is ice. Green is rain.







What you're seeing is the NAM sounding overview for Boone. It's showing almost 3/4 of an inch of ice for Boone on Sunday. Eek! Half of that would be pretty bad. I just looked at some other model soundings and they're still showing a quarter to .35 inches of ice as well. Sunday looks TERRIBLE.



Here's the NWS probability of greater than .25 inches of ice during the day Sunday.







Everyone sees a changeover to all rain Sunday evening/night and showers continue into Monday. Blegh.



The good news is that another cold front moves through late Monday and it will bring some really, really cold air along with it. Snow showers Monday night and Tuesday will only bring minimal accumulations, but snowmaking will finally get fired up. Wednesday and Thursday will continue to be cold. We're looking at around the clock snowmaking for at least 72 hours it looks like. We just gotta get through the next several days.

[jt3]

Thanks kdog.

[theKENDOG]

@killglobalwarmingnow 294393 wrote:Thanks for that report. That amount of ice would be annoying and dangerous, and could possibly disrupt resrt operations. It looks lik3 temps are going to be warmer than first thought? I'm not buying a 1/4 of ice sticking to anything, damn I hope not anyway



I'm thinking all of the resorts in NC will be closed Sunday. It's going to be sloppy.



As for the ice aspect, that three quarters of an inch is definitely an outlier and not likely. However, it looks like a quarter of an inch is definitely possible. Probably going to be a lot of trees down.

[MrClemsonKeri]

This sucks

[theKENDOG]

@Mr.ClemsonKeri 294396 wrote:



This sucks



Not sure what you're trying to say there.

[NCSkiFanatic15]

Any snow for the Hickory/Lenoir area anytime soon?!? I need snowww!!!

[Spacewrangler]

Any word on how the precip this weekend will affect snow pack at CAT for 12/23?



Will there be a base?

[theKENDOG]

@Spacewrangler 294881 wrote:Any word on how the precip this weekend will affect snow pack at CAT for 12/23?



Will there be a base?



The next several days are going to be pretty mild, especially this weekend. Snowmaking is probably done for everyone until Monday night. On top of that, the rain on Sunday looks to be decently heavy (an inch or so). I'd be lying to you if I said Monday will be good, because in all honesty it is probably going to be sloppy.

[theKENDOG]

@theKENDOG 294918 wrote:The next several days are going to be pretty mild, especially this weekend. Snowmaking is probably done for everyone until Monday night. On top of that, the rain on Sunday looks to be decently heavy (an inch or so). I'd be lying to you if I said Monday will be good, because in all honesty it is probably going to be sloppy.



Definitely going to be sloppy. Rain has been upped to one to three inches now. Oof.

[MrClemsonKeri]

What are we gonna see tomorrow